Monday, 5 May 2014

Hayden Fahey - Project One

Hayden Fahey

BILD 261 Economy Adviser
300295081
Project one


Investor property up.

In Gregg Ninnes Stuff article, Inside Guide to Investor Property, information regarding the opportunity of perspective property investors and property value to rental values were discussed. Housing shortages in central areas are creating a surge in rental prices, with Christchurch and Auckland most affected, Auckland median rents raising 10% from last year. Other centres such as Hamilton and Wellington may prove to be better for residential property investors (Ninness, 2013).  

Residential property rents in New Zealand’s largest centres have seen an increase since last year, Auckland suburbs have seen a median rent increase of 10% since October last year. Christchurch has had an increase of upto17% in poplar suburbs such as Cashmere and Riccarton, (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand, 2014).

The higher rents offer higher returns to investment property owners with existing properties. For investors expanding portfolios in large centres will find it difficult to achieve profitability because property prices have generally risen faster than rents (Ninness, 2013).
Other market areas such as Hamilton are proving to be more reliable areas for prospective investors. Hamilton has experienced rents rising faster than property prices in most residential property areas. The median selling price of properties sold in Hamilton in October was up five per cent on October last year. Prospective investors are presented with higher profit yields on their investments (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand, 2014).
Wellington has experienced a stable residential property market recently. With relatively low growth in rental values and little or no rise in property values the market has remained very stable. Median rents through the wider area of Wellington rising less than 5% while the median property value increased by 0.5% over the same period (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand, 2014).


NZ's top places for property gains

Dunedin has proven to be the highest yield location for long term New Zealand property investors. Student accommodation needs and the Christchurch rebuild programme have been present in the city for some time, driving up the yields. Dunedin had seven out of ten of the highest yielding suburbs in the country.

Dunedin has a large student population that requires accommodation within the city. The students need to be accommodated in relative close proximity to the campus; students also are most likely to rent due to the lower cost of renting for a few years rather than purchase a property. The large housing demand by students offers a reliable tenancy base for property owners. Three bedroom houses in the suburb of Hei Hei were returning gains of up to 14 per cent capital gain yield (Harris, 2014).

The Christchurch rebuild programme has also been driving up rental yields recently. Christchurch currently has a shortage of properties both for sale and rent. This property shortage in Christchurch has created a surge in Dunedin’s rental market as demand has increased while the rebuild takes place. The yield growth since the earthquakes in Dunedin has been quite evident according to a report by Westpac (Harris, 2014).

Rental property investors in Dunedin are experiencing high profit margins. High profit margins can be expected from rental investments because property prices are relatively cheap in relation to the rental income received. Dunedin's suburb of Forbury had a yield of 8.3% on the capital (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand, 2014).

The successful rental yields are attributed to economic model of supply and demand. There is a high demand for residential rental properties in Dunedin currently created by a continuous demand for student accommodation and a recent demand for Christchurch rebuilders. The two competing renters have driven up rental demand. Dunedin has always had a steady rental base from students that can be relied upon for steady profit, now rental demand from Christchurch rebuilders has driven up the property yields creating higher profits for the rental property owners. The rental boom from Christchurch can be expected to diminish as renters return to their city after properties have finished construction or more properties become available to the market (Harris, 2014).

Buying a house in the current property with debts has become very expensive. This is a direct result from the Reserve Bank initiating restrictions on low equity mortgages in October last year. The Reserve Bank restricted the mortgage market, making mortgages with a deposit of less than 20% difficult to get. This impacts first home buyers who are mostly unable to purchase property. The LVR has affected mainly the lower value properties in the market (ONE news, 2014). The Reserve Bank initiated this restriction in an effort to control the market for the country’s long term benefit. This is macroeconomics as it adjusts the market behaviour directly (Reserve Bank of New Zealand, 2013). Therefore with LVR restrictions first home buyers will be deterred from purchasing a new house without proper funding. Prospective first home buyers will look to rental properties instead of purchasing as LVR restrictions do not affect the rental property market.

Welly Real Estate should invest in residential property for rental opportunities. Due to LVR restrictions throughout New Zealand Prospective first home buyers will look to rental properties instead of purchasing as LVR restrictions do not affect the rental property market. This creates a large opportunity that Welly Real Estate could invest in.

There is evidently opportunity for profitability in the investment of residential properties for rent. Wellingtons stable property market serves as a relatively safe option for property investment, increasing rent values and stable property values offer great opportunity for a profitable investment. Hamilton also provides an ideal area for property investment, with rents rising faster than property values.

Dunedin’s high rental yields on properties capital, gained from other investors on low cost makes Dunedin an ideal location to invest in similar properties. With Dunedin’s high demand for rental properties from students studying in Dunedin a reliable long term profit will be attainable for rental properties. Multiple properties will bring higher profit margins to the company. Christchurch rebuilders have increased profitability to investors by increasing rental demand. The demand increase may not be stable when Christchurch rebuilds and more properties are available within Christchurch.  Christchurch has boosted the property yields on an already profitable rental market. Welly Real Estate could invest in low cost rental properties in Dunedin with little risk. These properties have proven profitable in the long term and should remain so with the large student population continuously expanding.  

Rental properties in these locations should provide improving rental yields. With residential properties throughout the country becoming increasingly expensive for purchase and limited properties available, rental properties are becoming more popular. Property management is an economically viable option in the current property market for Welly Real Estate.


Harris, C. (2014, March 27). NZ's Top Places for Property Gains. Retrieved April 20, 2014, from Stuff: http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/money/9870980/NZs-top-places-for-property-gains
Ninness, G. (2013, December 21). Stuff. Retrieved April 2014, from http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/money/9539298/Insider-guide-to-investing-in-rental-property
ONE news. (2014, April 24). LVR taking a chunk of low price sales out of housing market. Retrieved May 1, 2014, from ONE news: http://tvnz.co.nz/business-news/lvr-taking-chunk-low-price-sales-housing-market-5939958
Rel Estate Institute of New Zealand. (2014, March). REINZ Regional Data March 2014 . Retrieved May 4, 2014, from REINZ: https://www.reinz.co.nz/shadomx/apps/fms/fmsdownload.cfm?file_uuid=D18ABB95-71FC-469B-88BB-E60D8182AD1B&siteName=reinz
Reserve Bank of New Zealand. (2013). Loan-to-value ratio restrictions. Retrieved April 26, 2014, from Reserve Bank of New Zealand: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/financial_stability/macro-prudential_policy/5393159.html





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