Blog 5
Posted by the Dominion Post, the article relates to one of my previous posts in how the OCR* (Helm)
increase has a prolonging effect on the property market, its a proven fact that
kiwi home buyers pay more for their mortgages than the rest of the world says
Fensome (Fensome). As stated in a previous post from another article the
increase in the OCR of 2.75% has had an effect on mortgage interest rates
seeing them increase (Fensome).
Australian interest rates are seen to be
greatly lower than NZ, you could buy a house in Belmont Perth and in Belmont
Lower Hutt and pay the same price however buying in NZ would see you paying
more for your money in regards to interest rates, NZ's OCR, mortgage rates etc.
(Fensome)
Statistical data to back this statement
up ANZ mortgage rates last week were offered as followed in comparison to the
same bank;
Australia, Floating 5.88%, Fixed two
year rate 4.99%
New Zealand, Floating 5.99%, Fixed two
year rate 6.29%
Althought this slightly varies from
major lenders in NZ most banks are around the same interest rates for
example ASB offers a two year fixed rate of 6.49% and a floating of 5.89%.
"ANZ offers a two-year fixed rate
of 6.29 per cent. Its Australian parent, Commonwealth Bank, offers the same
term for 4.99 per cent. That means the Kiwi ASB customer pays $629 interest per
year for every $10,000 they borrow, while an Aussie with Commonwealth pays the
equivalent of about NZ$529." (Fensome)
Influences and threats relating to the
NZ economy are things such as;
• NZ low level of house old saving
• Less saving means banks need to borrow from overseas due to
lack of domestic funds
• NZ's small market size
• Volatility of NZ
• NZ's values of goods and services imported is considerably
greater than that exported and has been for over 40 years and technically
speaking this creates a persistent "current account
deficit"
• NZ has a need to invest in housing rather than asset
• NZ preferred investment is housing
All these reasons lie towards why our
economy is not as strong as others as stated Australia but economist Alex
Fensome states in the article that the real reason lies with foreign investors
and there willingness to lend to NZ, as is such a vulnerable market. Foreign
investors define NZ as more of a risk to lend to as the economy is smaller or
the value of the dollar could suddenly plunge.
Main focus point featured in the
article: How the instability of New Zealands economy can be to blame for New
Zealands property market.
This article relates to Welly Real
Estate as it gives some sort of background into why our economy is what it is
and the fact that New Zealand house prices, interest rates, lending power
is so unjust in comparison to other countries and the stability of there
economy.
Advise to Welly Real-Estate based on
this article is that due to NZ's economy being so high, the company should then
use this to there advantage as the demand of houses in comparison to the supply
is fairly outweighed, "If supply exceeds demand, value goes
up"(Blackboard Lecture 2) and although potential home buyers are less
willing to buy with the economy and property market being the way it is. The
fact of the matter is renting is not feasible these days as there is also
high rental prices so home buyers are going to continue to purchase houses
no matter the price so Welly Real Estate should continue to push sales. Renting
is deemed unfeasible because with high renting prices property manages and
landlords are charging rentals buyers are so high that in the long run there
money ends up going no where, where in turn if someone was to purchase a house
at still a high rate at the end of it they have a valuing asset (Long term
asset*), renting is not an asset.
*Long term asset: Long term assets
are those that have a useful life of more than
a year
*OCR: The
OCR is an interest rate set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand which defines
the wholesale price of borrowed money. This directly affects the commercial
banks, determining the rates they offer their customers. So it affects the
rates banks charge for borrowing (mortgages, loans, credit cards) and what they
will pay customers for saving (term deposits, savings accounts).
Works Cited:
Fensome, A. "Kiwis pay extra
high mortgages over 'risk'". Web, 25 March. 2014.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/9859273/Kiwis-pay-extra-high-mortgages-over-risk
Helm, A. "Interest rates
rise". Web. March 24. 2014.
http://www.interest.co.nz/property/69100/alistair-helm-assesses-how-property-market-will-react-and-handle-coming-interest-rate
Gareth Morgan Investments. "The
official cash rate explained" Web. 2 April. 2014.
http://www.gmi.co.nz/answerroom/1450/the-official-cash-rate-explained.aspx
ASB. "Interest rates".
Web. 2 April. 2014. https://www.asb.co.nz/Personal/Home-Loans/Interest-rate-options/Variable-rate
Blackboard lecture slides. Web. 2 April.
2014 https://blackboard.vuw.ac.nz/bbcswebdav/pid-1432991-dt-content-rid-2142585_1/courses/2014.1.BILD261/Lecture2.pdf
Good to see you posting, referencing and offering advice.
ReplyDeleteInstead of writing ‘the above article’, just include in text references
This part needs a reference: The above article relates to one of my previous posts in how the OCR increase has a prolonging effect on the property market, it’s a proven fact that kiwi home buyers pay more for their mortgages than the rest of the world says Fensome.(REF)
Be careful about using I and my; could be reworded to sound more academic. Also read through before you post as there are a few awkward sentences and spelling mistakes. Just a thought but: reading your writing out loud is a good way to pick up on mistakes.
You have incorporated ANZ mortgage rates, what are some rates from other banks? Is this directly related to ANZ or is it the same for all banks?
Would be great to see some of the terminology Fabricio has gone over in the lectures. Would show a higher level of understanding.
You are saying that renting not feasible? Why is this? Can you reference this comment?
Thanks for the feedback Catherine changed what you have said!
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